Tropical system in Caribbean has 70% chance of becoming a hurricane
BRIDGETOWN, Barbados, Thursday June 21, 2012 - The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) is reporting that a “large low pressure system located just north of the northern coast of the Yucatan peninsula is producing an extensive area of cloudiness, showers and scattered thunderstorms over much of the central and eastern gulf of Mexico and the northwestern Caribbean sea.”
The NHC said that recent reports indicate the system is becoming better defined and more conducive for development of a tropical depression during the next 24 hours.
“The system has a high chance, 70 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northward into the central Gulf of Mexico” according to the latest NHC report.
The NHC indicated that if necessary, an air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow afternoon.
Last month Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray of the Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University slightly increased their forecast for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane season. The season is expected to see about 13 named storms, including 5 hurricanes, with two of them being major during the 2012 hurricane season.