A Case for Climate Change Compensation | Sir Ronald Sanders

By Sir Ronald Sanders

ST JOHN’S, Antigua, Monday November 6, 2017 – Caribbean small states should be readying themselves for a major joint push to make the 23rd session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 23) to the UN Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), a landmark occasion for compensation for the damage caused to them by the world’s worst polluting nations.

COP 23 will take place in Bonn, Germany in early November and it will be presided over by the Government of Fiji, a Pacific small state with intimate knowledge and experience of the damaging effects of climate change. The case for compensation for damage to small states as a result of climate change has never been stronger than it is now.

2017 has witnessed record-breaking climate disasters across the globe – in the United States (US), Mexico, the Caribbean, Asia and Africa. Back-to-back Category 5 hurricanes cut a swathe through the Caribbean in September from which the affected islands will not fully recover for many years to come.

Importantly, these hurricanes have also caused thousands of people, whose homes, schools, hospitals and businesses have been decimated, to seek refuge in other islands. These people are, in effect, ‘Climate Refugees’, ripped away from their history, their culture and their identity. Their plight has been created by ferocious storms not caused by their own actions but by profligate carbon emissions (CO2) by rich nations.

A World Meteorological Organization (WMO) report published on October 30, says that concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere surged at a record-breaking speed in 2016 to the highest level in 800,000 years. According to the report, “the abrupt changes in the atmosphere witnessed in the past 70 years are without precedent.”

The WMO Chief, Petteri Taalas, said: “Without rapid cuts in CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions, we will be heading for dangerous temperature increases by the end of this century, well above the target set by the Paris climate change agreement.” In plain-speaking, that means the world is on course for warming beyond the 2 degrees Celsius target and probably higher than the 3 degrees Celsius that governments loosely mooted last year. At those temperatures, many islands will drown and coastal areas of mainland countries, including in the US, will be lost.

The possibility of the climate refugees returning to their homes in the short to medium term is remote. But it is not only the refugees that face hardship; the receiving islands are also encumbered with additional costs of unexpectedly providing services for them. The island of Antigua, for instance, is now a haven for the 1,600 inhabitants of Barbuda and another 3,000 from Dominica at costs it can ill afford.

For the independent Caribbean countries, the rebuilding process is daunting; they simply don’t have the money. Worse for them is that because they are measured by the palpably false criteria of high per capita income, they don’t have access to aid, grants and concessional loans. Their only prospect for rapid rebuilding is to borrow money on arduous commercial terms that would increase their debt to unsustainable levels.

In any event, it would be impossible for them to borrow the huge sums that rebuilding requires. The damage on Barbuda, for instance, is approximately 14.2 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Antigua and Barbuda; on Dominica it is more than 100 per cent. Without international assistance, the levels of economic development and social improvement that they had achieved, prior to hurricanes Irma and Maria, will take many years to re-establish.

This disastrous situation, coupled with the fact that Climate Change is now forcing people from their land and their homes, make concerted action by small states imperative at COP 23 in Bonn. The message clearly has to be that small island states and countries with low coastal areas are being irreparably damaged, and their people are being made refugees by the rich, polluting nations of the world who must face-up to their obligations to pay compensation for the damage they have so far caused and agree to tackle Climate Change meaningfully now.

Even if, year after year, Caribbean and Pacific islands expend huge sums of money on re-building infrastructure, homes, businesses, hospitals, schools, airports and ports to higher standards of resilience, they remain vulnerable to continuous climate destruction, and increasing numbers of climate refugees, until such time as the world’s polluters curb CO2 emissions and halt climate change.

That message must be delivered in Bonn in a united, strong and loud voice by small states. And strong alliances have to be forged with organizations such as OXFAM and Greenpeace. It is time that the polluters are made to face-up to the destruction and dislocation they are causing, and resolve in a legally-binding way to stop.

In the meantime, these very polluting countries that control the world’s financial system, including the international financial institutions, should put in place immediate measures to compensate damaged countries. They should also provide access to the funding that small states urgently need to make themselves better prepared for the destructive climate demons that have already been unleashed upon them.

The immediate measures should include: forgiveness of debt owed by small states to other governments and international financial institutions or rescheduling of such debt over longer repayment periods at nominal interest; assumption by developed nations of commercial debts to institutions in their countries, including Paris Club debt; payment of premiums for disaster insurance by governments; access to grants and highly concessional loans from the international financial institutions that must set new criteria for eligibility, casting away per capita income as a basis of judgment and replacing it with more meaningful measurements of need.

Small countries, damaged by the excessive pollution of large and rich nations, should not be compelled to cope by themselves with the unemployment, poverty, inequality, disease, dislocation of people and the refugee communities created as consequences of climate change.

Small states should go to Bonn determined to raise their voices in complaint, to point fingers at where blame lies and to insist on compensation that is their due.

The planet Earth is shared by all mankind, not by a few; its bounty is the common property of all nations, not only the rich; the burden of its care must fall to all, not primarily to the small and vulnerable.

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ronald-sanders

 Sir Ronald Sanders is Antigua and Barbuda’s Ambassador to the US and the OAS.  He is also a Senior Fellow at the Institute of Commonwealth Studies at the University of London and Massey College in the University of Toronto.

  • Michael Goddard

    Should there be any net adjustment for the benefits we accrue due to the marvels of modernity? It is certainly true that the Caribbean like the entire world will incur costs due to climate change and that change can largely be attributed to human activity of burning carbon, mainly in large countries. But it is also true that we benefit from many things invented and done in those large countries. Antibiotics, vaccines, engineering principles, credit, liberal democracy and a myriad of other modern products, processes and institutional innovations have made the quality and quantity of life better for all Caribbean people. Perhaps the single most relevant invention, the jet engine, enabled modern tourism and has transformed our societies from agricultural peasantry in the 1950’s to modern relatively affluent service based economies. With that transformation our people have built wealth across the board all Caribbean people are richer today than in their grandparents generation. Yet the very airlines and tourism we benefit from is also responsible for the climate change that will impact us. Yes – as a percentage of the total contribution of our carbon footprint is small and alone not a large number on the temperature rise scale – but the point is we do play a part in the emissions game.

    To try and approach this from an accounting perspective will be near impossible. Tallying up polluter amounts and costs of climate change and netting it off is not practical – we would never agree on the methods and figures and if you think forecasting temperature rise is difficult, then forecasting economic impact is even harder. Even if we could – the political will of rich countries to divert their own precious resources to help others outside their nations will be big mountain to overcome. I don’t think the begging for a handout – regardless of how moral you think your position is will get us very far. It will likely create internal and external resentment. So what to do?

    We can remind the large countries of their impact and use our pulpit to call for reductions in CO2 emissions. We must push them to make investments into economic green alternative energy – and then adopt those alternatives ourselves. We need to be pragmatic and rely on the science, even with its uncertainty, to forecast the likely impacts we will feel – some good and bad – and make the internal policy changes, investments and transformations to adjust to the changing future.